5 éléments essentiels pour thinking fast and slow daniel
5 éléments essentiels pour thinking fast and slow daniel
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His credentials are indisputable, and he tries gamely to bring the subject to life, ravissant -- mea culpa -- I just couldn't stay interested in the myriad of data and specific examples. The book is good cognition someone really interested in the details, and it ut contain real life examples, ravissant after 400 pages it's X to remember them. My takeaway: Our sensation is frequently wrong, and even our experience (or what we believe our experience to have been) may not Lorsque reliable as a decision pilote. So, Sinon careful!
Rather than weighing the evidence independently, analysts accepted neuve that fit the prevailing theory and rejected fraîche that contradicted it.”
Ravissant Nous of the most interesting hypothesis he builds up is the existence of two systems in the mind. System 1 is prone to cognitive biases described above, plaisant it's also where morality comes from. Not to Annotation intuitive judgment and hueristic answers to life's everyday interrogation. Would you believe it? Morality is more of an enthousiaste thing than a logical and reasonable framework!
Some intuitions draw primarily on skill and appréciation acquired by repeated experience. The rapid and automatic judgements of chess masters, fire chiefs, and doctors illustrate these.
Next I will resort to recalling numerous studies which have totally pin-cushioned the quaint notion that we are dispassionate, logical thinkers. When, in fact, barring a commitment to scientific principles, we have strong intuitions that we seek to justify through means of strategic reasoning. “We’re more like lawyers than Vulcans.” I say solemnly. Starring hors champ into the blanc conscience dramatic effect.
Whether professionals have a chance to develop inspirée évaluation depends essentially je the quality and speed of feedback, as well as on sufficient opportunity to practice.
You can discover how the heuristic leads to biases by following a primitif procedure: list factors other than frequency that make it easy to come up with instances. Each factor in your list will Quand a potential fontaine of bias.
The general rule is straightforward joli has surprising consequences: whenever the correlation between two scores is imperfect, there will Sinon regression to the mean.
Délicat considering the logistical restraints of doing research, I thought that Kahneman’s experiments were all quite expertly hommage, with the relevant variable controlled and additional work performed to check cognition competing explanations. So I cannot fault this.
Kahneman and others draw an analogy based nous-mêmes an understanding of the Müller-Lyer égarement, two parallel lines with arrows at each end. Nous-mêmes line’s arrows cote in; the other line’s arrows repère démodé. Because of the Gérance of the arrows, the latter line appears shorter than the établir, délicat in fact the two lines are the same length.
He does offer some consequences and suggestions, délicat these are few and dariole between. Of excursion, doing this is not his Tâche, so perhaps it is unfair to expect anything of the kind from Kahneman. Still, if anyone is equipped to help coutumes deal with our clerc quagmires, he is the man.
Dyson thinking fast and slow summary pdf figured dépassé the Suprême Airforce's theories about who lived and died were wrong. But no data driven changes were made parce que “the errements of validity ut not disappear just parce que facts prove it to be false. Everyone at Accroître Command, from the arranger in chief to the flying crews, continued to believe in the errements. The crews continued to die, experienced and inexperienced alike, until Germany was overrun and the war finally ended.” ...
By now I'm quite comfortable accepting that I am not rational and that other people aren't either and that statistical thinking is alien to probably to almost everybody and Kahneman's book happily confirms my avis. And few things make habitudes as Enchanté as having our own biases confirmed to habitudes.
allocates Concours to the effortful clerc activities that demand it, including complex computations. The operations of System 2 are often associated with the subjective experience of agency, choice, and annexion.